Service Plays - Friday 6/25/21

Jackofhearts

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Matt Severance
ATLANTA +7.5
ANALYSIS: Milwaukee beat the Nets in part due to big contributions from the likes of PJ Tucker and Brook Lopez, but the way the Hawks play offensively renders those two essentially unusable for the Bucks in this series -- they were a combined minus-16 with 11 points in 55 minutes in Milwaukee's Game 1 upset loss to Atlanta. I'm not sure Mike Budenholzer is a good enough coach to solve the issue. Do I think the Bucks lose a second straight at home Friday? No, but if oddsmakers want to keep gifting all these points on the Hawks, I'll keep taking them. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their past five after a loss.
 

Jackofhearts

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Jeff Hochman

N.Y. ISLANDERS +155
ANALYSIS: The Islanders scored three unanswered goals in Game 6 to force Game 7. The last time New York played in Tampa Bay, the Islanders were a no-show in the 8-0 loss. They have won the face-off battle in four of the six games. All the pressure is on the Lightning. Let's take the juicy underdog and watch the Islanders advance to the Stanley Cup Finals for the first time since 1984.
 

Jackofhearts

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John Bollman

N.Y. ISLANDERS +155
ANALYSIS: The Islanders stormed back in Game 6 after being down 2-0 to win 3-2 in OT. However, I think it was the way it happened that was shocking. The Lightning were getting completely outplayed in the third period and they were just limping to the finish line. If theres one thing I know about Game 7, anything can happen. The better team doesn't always win so when I see a line that is this lopsided I have to go with the underdog. The Lightning were banged up in the last game also, but most notably Nikita Kucherov left after the first shift. I think the Islanders put on a defensive gem and move on to the Stanley Cup Finals.
 

Jackofhearts

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SDQL

CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA | 06/25 | 8:10 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: The Over is 8-0 when the Twins are in the second game of a series when they scored in at most two separate innings in the opener. The Over also is 11-0 when the Indians are after a game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter and they are not a dog of +130 or more.

COLORADO @ MILWAUKEE | 06/25 | 4:10 PM EDT
COLORADO +215
ANALYSIS: The Rockies are 6-0 in the first game of a series with rest on the road off a road game in which they hit at least one home run, and it is before the All-Star break. Colorado never trailed in any of the six wins. The Brewers are 0-5 as a favorite with Corbin Burnes when they lost in his last start against their opponent. Also, Milwaukee is 0-6 as a home favorite of -130 or more when they are off a one-run win.

N.Y. YANKEES @ BOSTON | 06/25 | 7:10 PM EDT
BOSTON +120
ANALYSIS: The Red Sox are 6-0 as a home dog after they were shutout, and it is before the All-Star break. The Yankees are 0-7 as a road favorite after a game as a home favorite in which Aaron Judge hit a home run. We're on the Red Sox.
 

Jackofhearts

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Ben Burns

J* tampa bay-170-nhl
J* bucks-7.5
J* oakland-110
I* st.louis-170
I* miami-130
H* brewers-240
 

Jackofhearts

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Larry Hartstein

SAN DIEGO -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Padres had a day off to come down from their sweep of the hated Dodgers. They've won seven straight playing in front of huge crowds at Petco. Now they host a Diamondbacks team that's dropped 23 straight road games and 19 of 20 overall. Arizona starter Corbin Martin has not lasted more than four innings in any of his last three outings. Play San Diego on the run line at -140.
 

Jackofhearts

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Matt Severance

N.Y. ISLANDERS @ TAMPA BAY | 06/25 | 8:00 PM GMT
UNDER 5
ANALYSIS: I am waiting to make my moneyline pick on this Game 7 until I hear the status of Bolts star and Conn Smythe candidate Nikita Kucherov -- although his absence would certainly help on the Under. I actually hate this number right on 5 goals and recommend buying up to 5.5 to avoid any push as I tend to think this game ends 3-2, but I also believe it's more likely to finish Under 5 goals than hit 6.

ATLANTA @ MILWAUKEE | 06/25 | 8:30 PM GMT
ATLANTA +7.5
ANALYSIS: Milwaukee beat the Nets in part due to big contributions from the likes of PJ Tucker and Brook Lopez, but the way the Hawks play offensively renders those two essentially unusable for the Bucks in this series -- they were a combined minus-16 with 11 points in 55 minutes in Milwaukee's Game 1 upset loss to Atlanta. I'm not sure Mike Budenholzer is a good enough coach to solve the issue. Do I think the Bucks lose a second straight at home Friday? No, but if oddsmakers want to keep gifting all these points on the Hawks, I'll keep taking them. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their past five after a loss.
 

Jackofhearts

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Justin Perri

ARIZONA @ SAN DIEGO | 06/25 | 10:10 PM EDT
SAN DIEGO -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Diamondbacks head back out on the road where they have been awful. To make things worse, the Arizona starter tonight, Corbin Martin, has expected numbers that are worse than Matt Harvey's and has not made it into the fifth inning in any of his last three starts. Back the Padres on the spread at home to dominate the lowly Diamondbacks.

HOUSTON @ DETROIT | 06/25 | 7:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -1.5
ANALYSIS: I'm going back to the Astros as they are on a streak of 11 straight covers and get to face Wily Peralta. In his last start, against the Angels, he finished with five earned runs, seven hits, two walks and two home runs allowed in just five innings. The Astros should make quick work of him tonight, and Framber Valdez should keep the Tigers to their average output. The Astros have scored 25 runs in the last two days; I see no reason they slow down tonight.

BALTIMORE @ TORONTO | 06/25 | 7:07 PM EDT
TORONTO -1.5
ANALYSIS: It is Matt Harvey day for the Blue Jays, and it comes at their home stadium. Harvey's xBA is .298 and xSLG is .509 with a whopping 7.80 ERA. I'll happily pay this juice to go against a pitcher who has allowed 16 earned runs in his last 10.2 innings. The Toronto pitching should be able to keep the Orioles in check, as they're much better against lefties, so I expect a blowout. This is one game where I would consider playing -2.5 for a better payout.
 

Jackofhearts

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Larry Ness

J-tampa bay-1.5+170-nhl
j-under-226-bucks
i-miami-126
i-giants+103
J-dodgers-1.5+110
h-white sox-1.5+110
h-padres-1.5-135
 

Jackofhearts

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Green Falcon Picks (of Green Pitch Sports)

Guarani FC - Coritiba FC
Brazil, Serie B, 00:00 CET (Jun 26) / 6:00 PM ET
1.1 Units: Coritiba FC +0.25 -113

Stats since February 20, when the service started:
68-48-5 (60.5-44.5-5) / +48.013 Units
 

Jackofhearts

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Big Al
D*. Milwaukee Bucks

Docs
DeChambeau over Reed -130 RD. 2 (DU)

Indian Cowboy
Inter Miami +.5 -130 (CU)

Scott Spreitzer
Orlando +120 (EU)

Tony George
Lightning -170 (CU)

Vernon Croy
Blue Jays RL -130 (DU)
Lightning O5 -130 (DU)
 

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