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pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,028
MLB

Rangers EV
Cubs ml +150
Dbacks -1.5



NBA


DEN 1H -4

@KVB @jjgold
why does this line suggest Den will drop game1 ? :+clueless



NHL

CAR ML -140
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,028
Adding

Nuggets 1Q -2 as well.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
7,751
I'm not so sure the line suggests Denver will drop a game but I do think that line could be a little high at 6.

My stacking percentages Forecast has Denver winning 116-112 and the non-predictive public gauge has Denver winning 115-111.

Both forecasts very close, both with about a 4 point differential and both predict an OVER.

Line is pretty tight for me as of now but I'm still seeking market info and a few more things. We've seen this line creep up from 5 or so to 6 and that makes some sense, given the standings and teams.

Lakers have been one of hte best teams in the league for a while now. We could see pressure on the Lakers moneyline that helps keep the spread at bay. I think some Laker money is yet to come in.

This could be a tough game to bet.
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,028
logic tells me, game 1 road dog ML is a long term winning proposition.

my gut tells me, DEN is the hottest 1Q / 1H team.
take them, whatever happens final result, happens - doesnt matter.

This seems too easy... :+clueless

Homecourt is HUGH in this series, i dont think nuggets lose it right away in Gm1.
 
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