Skip to content

JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
Austin Eckroat Top20 @ .27 cents

Eckroat did well day 1, stayed even day 2 while others moved, but eagled his final whole on moving day today to get back in it for Top20.

He currently trades .57 x .06 on the echange.

Could put in order at .56 cents to sell and move that .06 cents to .56 cents but not sure if anyone will bite with the liquidity that's out there.

Looks like we'll be heading into Sunday with this postion open.

This shows the ASK, what he cost to buy now, but, again, the listed sell price is .06 cents with that big spread...

PGABoughtASK% ProfitPer $100
Austin Eckroat Top 200.270.57111.1%111.11
Total
[td]
111.11​
[/td]
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
Lots of fees Kalshi that players don’t know about hidden commissions

This is bullshit.

It's true you should pay attention to fees, you always should anywhere, but there aren't "lots of fees" and nothing is "hidden" at all.

Not sure why you would say that.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
I like Kalshi's fee structure much better than polymarket.

Polymarket taxes the winners, while I can make a market at Kalshi and not get taxed at all, paying less than half of the Poly fees in some instances.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
There’s a lot of complaints about Kalshi with their commission structure

Bullshit complaints.

You never not know what the fee will be.

Trade smarter

Greedy small time traders get stuck paying fees as they go to market for something that costs .96 cents.

lmao
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
Greedy small time traders get stuck paying fees as they go to market for something that costs .96 cents.

Same thing happens in the sportsbook.

You want to lay heavy chalk, like really heavy chalk, you know as well as I do that the vig is much much higher on those plays.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
Almost came in here with Tor -3.5 at halftime when tied with Port 44-44 but again, doesn't quite feel like being patient.

Port started the 2nd half with the lead and is up 6.

Toronto is just cheaper now, and I have to say it's tempting here.

Tor -3.5 below .30 cents and the Tor ML around .40 cents are on the radar.

Accuracy is important here, and there's a box or two just not checked with this Toronto play. Just how loose or how tight is my trading going to be?

:popcorn:
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
Austin Eckroat Top20 @ .27 cents
Eckroat did well day 1, stayed even day 2 while others moved, but eagled his final whole on moving day today to get back in it for Top20.

He currently trades .57 x .06 on the echange.

Could put in order at .56 cents to sell and move that .06 cents to .56 cents but not sure if anyone will bite with the liquidity that's out there.

Looks like we'll be heading into Sunday with this postion open.

This shows the ASK, what he cost to buy now, but, again, the listed sell price is .06 cents with that big spread...

PGABoughtASK% ProfitPer $100
Austin Eckroat Top 200.270.57111.1%111.11
Total

[td]
111.11​




[/td]

Eckroat is now trading .36 x .35

That spread has tightened and am back to profit, technically, if I go to market. There aren't alot of contracts out these prices so the liquidity is still thin.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
The Lab likes Toronto +6.5 in the WNBA but the Trader isn't so sure it's patient enough to go to market pre game.
Almost came in here with Tor -3.5 at halftime when tied with Port 44-44 but again, doesn't quite feel like being patient.

The first one is from Thurs and both times Toronto sucked ass.

@subaru80 pointed out the questionable look at Toronto on Thurs, he wasn't wrong. His focus was Minny and he was right there, the whole picture is necessary.

So now I've been patient with Toronto, passing on the losses., That's good but it will be better if I can get paid when they finally do come through.

But subaru served to remind me to keep that whole picture in mind. And thank you to him for that.

So we have to pay close and fuill attention if we're geting Toronto in the future, and not just start guessing its them.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
The Lab likes LV to cover the -8.5 against LA, but it could happen late and if they don't cover, the could lose. That's a stretch "could" but it's there.

The Trader is looking at a potential strategy of picking up Vegas on the dips, likely only the spread but the confidence in the spread from the Lab will keep me to only a unit.

I don't really want to be entering in the mid 50s on the spread as we would need it to get close to the 80s to pick up 50%.

But we could be looking at a situation where the Vegas ML could be hit around .70 cents and we would be looking to go to 1.00 there for the 42.86%

The numbers here, if we are looking at Vegas, are costly any way you look at it.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
There's a -12.5 but pregame that looks like a lot.

Poly is delaling 8.5 an 9.5 but I'm not so sure the pennies saved for the 9.5 are going to be worth it.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
The Trader is looking at a potential strategy of picking up Vegas on the dips, likely only the spread but the confidence in the spread from the Lab will keep me to only a unit.

Many know I make several forecasts and I do have one that puts this game at a tie.

That lowers the confidence in Vegas a little bit, lol.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
23,158
Shit, I had an order for 1/2 position at the last timeout at .69 cents.

The timeout was sitting at .70 amd looking at the order book, I decided mov to .68, then it hit .69 and now it moved back to .75.

It was a failed attempt to buy on the dip.

lol
 
Top