Danny Garcia vs. Jose Benavidez Jr. First Look Fight Preview | Boxing Betting Picks and Breakdown

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Danny Garcia (L) punches Ivan Redkach during their WBC silver world welterweight title eliminator. Steven Ryan/Getty Images/AFP

Following his success as a two-weight world champion, Danny Garcia returns to the ring for his junior middleweight debut this Saturday night after a 19-month layoff.

He’ll compete against the formidable Jose Benavidez Jr. in the main event at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York, live on Showtime.

Read on for our complete betting guide taking a first look at this junior middleweight contender’s bout between Garcia and Benavidez., including updated boxing odds, free expert boxing picks, and predictions.

Danny Garcia vs. Jose Benavidez Jr.

Junior Middleweight Main Event Bout

Saturday, July 30, 2022, 11:20 PM EDT at Barclays Center

Danny Garcia Analysis

  • (36-3, 21 KOs)

Former two-division world champion Danny “Swift” Garcia was Philadelphia born and raised, but his professional boxing career has flourished inside New York state, notably the Barclays Center – where he made his professional debut ten years ago.

So, when he enters the Empire State this Saturday evening, you can guarantee a fan favorite atmosphere for Garcia after delivering a decade of memorable performances to the local crowd.

Having already obtained the 140lb and 147lb championship belts over the last decade, Garcia is now looking towards a third-weight class title opportunity at 154lbs. And although a higher weight class will present complex challenges, that feeling of fighting so close to home with a supportive crowd could give Garcia the mental advantage he needs.

New York locals won’t be the only ones backing Garcia at the betting window, his veteran experience and expertise seemingly make Garcia the glaring choice for a winning bet, and nobody understands this more than the man himself, as he recently expressed during a press conference.

A Part of Barclays Center History

“This is my 11th fight on Showtime, and it’s been a journey creating history at the Barclays Center. I’ve been off for a little bit, but I’m back in the gym like I never left. I feel great mentally, physically, and spiritually. I’m ready to give the fans a great fight.” Garcia said at the press conference.

“I was the first main event at the Barclays Center, and I’ve been building a fanbase there over the last ten years. Brooklyn is the perfect place to build a fanbase, and I’m honored to be a part of Barclays Center history.”

Best Available Odds: Danny Garcia (-700) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)


Jose Benavidez Jr. Analysis

  • (27-1-1, 18 KOs)

While Jose Benavidez Jr. has already fought at junior middleweight, the playing field won’t be too advantageous for him as he’ll be making just his second appearance at 154lb.

An underwhelming performance against Francisco Emanuel Torres saw Benavidez make his 154lb debut, but now, with an acclimatized sense of being, can the brother of two-time champion David Benavidez make a statement and step out of his brother’s shadow?

Aged 30 years old, Benavidez is somewhat of a veteran himself. However, a lengthy three-year layoff saw him return to a drawn contest versus Torres - a result and training camp he’d rather forget.

Negatives aside, prior to his layoff and a weight class switch, Benavidez defeated Frank Rojas and Mauricio Herrera and gained an elite level of experience when facing Terence Crawford for the title.

A Fight the Fans Will Want to See

Benavidez believes his previous opponent was playing cat and mouse, but Garcia will give him the fight he wants.

“A win over Danny Garcia is a big step for me. The winner of this fight will go back up in the rankings. We’ve both lost before, and I think that’s made us stronger fighters. We’ve learned from our mistakes. We’re going to be throwing bombs all night long. Stay tuned because this will be the Fight of the Year.” Benavidez said at the press conference.

“My last opponent was running and running, and I’m looking forward to going toe-to-toe with Danny. I’m staying in shape, and I’m focused. I hit hard, he hits hard, so there’s going to be a knockout whether we look for it or not.

“I want to fight the best of the best. I don’t duck or dodge anyone. I don’t care about the record. I train to win. This is an interesting fight with Danny, and it’s a fight the fans will want to see. Danny was the perfect pick.”

Best Available Odds: Jose Benavidez Jr. (+450) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)


Garcia vs. Benavidez: Fight Breakdown

How Can Garcia Defeat Benavidez?

A sixteen-month absence to jump up a weight class is undoubtedly a concern for those supporting Garcia this weekend. And yes, Benavidez also returned from a significant time away from the ring, but will Garcia enter the Barclays Center with the ring rust that Benavidez had already shaken off with his bout versus Torres?

Although many critics believe this fight should be a routine victory for Garcia, we shouldn’t be quick to doubt his challenger.

With that said, Garcia's probing right jab and hook should be able to dictate the scorecards – once he finds himself inside the ring again.

How Can Benavidez Defeat Garcia?

Benavidez is known for reaching the elite level and falling at the final hurdle.

Although I believe he can hang with Garcia and take advantage of his opponent's ring rust during the early rounds, it could be a long night for the underdog once his opponent finds his bearings.


Garcia vs. Benavidez: Betting Picks and Odds

  • Garcia vs. Benavidez Prediction: Garcia Wins by Unanimous Decision

The available odds at our top-rated sportsbooks heavily favor Garcia, and rightfully so.

Size and power will side with Benavidez as Garcia will want to avoid reckless exchanges in the pocket. Still, stamina and overall technical boxing ability will side with the former champ, and he’s also faced a higher level of competition in the past.

Multiple variables surround this contest, including Garcia’s layoff and his debut at junior middleweight. However, I still believe the Barclays Center favorite is likely to have his hand raised.

Boxing Pick: Danny Garcia ML (-700) at Heritage Sports [Bet Garcia by DEC when odds become available] (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

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Danny Garcia ML (-700)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.