US Open Best Bets for June 12: Why Ludvig Looks Like an Oakmont Winner (Archive)
Top Golf Pick: Ludvig Åberg To Finish Top 10 (+275) BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
This week, our golf expert @EdwardsTips previews this week’s US Open.
US Open 2025
Thursday, June 12, 2025 – 06:45 AM EDT at Oakmont Country Club
Course Notes
- Par 70. 7372 yards
- Poa Annua greens, at a potential 14.5 on the stimp, will be treacherous.
- Key metrics are likely to be strokes gained off the tee. Approach play and all aspects of play around the greens.
- Oakmont has been revamped since the 2016 US Open by Gil Hanse and is expected to be a brute of a week.
- After a wet spell in the lead-up to this week, the course should start with a little moisture, and with a settled forecast, the course is likely to get harder and faster as the Open progresses.
Why Is Ludvig Åberg Finally a Value Price?
It has been difficult to find odds of +2000 or higher on Ludvig Åberg during his rise from the world’s top amateur, but this week, we finally have the chance to back the talented Swede at more realistic prices for the US Open.
That is because 2025 has been rather stop-start for the young Swede, but there have been signs of his undoubted class. The first one was a win at Torrey Pines for the relocated Genesis Invitational, and bear in mind that the course is a regular host of the US Open. Åberg then competed prominently all week at the Masters Tournament for the second year in succession when a poor final couple of holes left him in 7th rather than close to the play-off.
Åberg Shares Similarities With the Last Two Oakmont Winners
The two previous winners of the US Open at Oakmont, Dustin Johnson and Angel Cabrera, share many similarities in their play:
- Both are supremely laid back in demeanour
- Both are natural flushers of the golf ball with high ball flights and super long distances.
That ability to hit the ball high and long will be an advantage this week, especially with the weather forecast looking perfect following a wet spell. The softer conditions will allow for shorter approach shots that help hold Oakmont’s super-fast greens, which can measure up to 14 on the Stimpmeter — where a high ball flight will once again be a significant asset.
Finally, the last pieces in the jigsaw were Åberg’s strong showing at last year’s US Open, finishing 14th and last week’s RBC Canadian Open, which looked like the perfect tune-up with a very promising effort just outside the top 10.
Ludvig Åberg’s Picks:
- Ludvig Åberg To Win (+2500) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)
- Ludvig Åberg To Finish Top 10 (+275) BetOnline
Harris English Has the High Ball Flight Required
Harris English fits much of the criteria that we are looking for in our US Open perm, and like Åberg, he has a towering ball flight.
The thirty-five-year-old has many other strong credentials to bolster our confidence, the first of which is his US Open record. He has three Top 10 finishes in the last five years, which is hugely impressive and illustrates the patience within his game.
English has a great current form. His major championship pedigree was enhanced after a runner-up finish at the recent PGA Championship, on the back of a tournament win at Torrey Pines (like Åberg) for the Farmers Insurance Open.
Becoming a US Open champion can be an exacting test of skill and patience as the grind takes its toll on much of the field. For me, English fits the mould of unfashionable past winners like Retief Goosen, Jim Furyk, and Gary Woodland.
The price of +10000 with BetOnline, one of our recommended sportsbooks, is the best value around. Given the generic Top 10 price of +100, we can avail ourselves of that for a bigger stake.
Harris English Picks:
- Harris English To Win (+10000) at BetOnline
- Harris English To Finish Top 10 (+1000) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.