Another NFL season is in the books and it was memorable. From the fast starts that happened to Miami, Tennessee, Seattle, and Philadelphia to the fast finishes we had from Detroit, Jacksonville, Baltimore, and Cincinnati.
When it comes to betting on the NFL, some events happen that made you think, “What was I thinking?” to “What the heck is going on?”.
Here is a look back at this year’s regular season from a betting perspective.
This season, similar to those of six or more years ago, saw a preponderance of underdogs winning and covering spreads early. Some called for regression to happen any week and though the dogs stopped covering at the rate they were early in the season, those who stuck with the pooches had a nicely profitable season.
Every year various trends happen and if you pay close attention, you can utilize them to your advantage versus the NFL odds. This year it was a higher level of underdogs covering. Next year, who knows but those who pay attention pick up extra cash and are attentive when to bail out.
We’ve heard it countless times: The NFL is a Quarterback League.
That statement applies to the most accomplished QBs and diminishes those that are not of the same qualities. At the same time, we know the person in charge of the offense gets too much credit when things go well and too much blame when they don’t. The sharper football bettor focuses on the week-to-week and learns something useful continually.
Here are the Top 5 NFL Point Spread Winners:
What kind of years did Daniel Jones, Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, Justin Herbert, and the San Francisco quarterbacks have? Burrow and Herbert matched or exceeded expectations, Jones took a big leap forward and Goff did something similar.
Granted, the Niners are very talented and it seems they could plug anybody under center and they would win. Yet, we know that is not true and excellent QB play makes them that much better.
Top 5 NFL Point Spread Losers:
No way of looking at almost anything is 100% correct and Tom Brady did not drag Tampa Bay by himself. Instead, look at the quarterback play of the other four teams and you understand what we are saying.
While there are so many numbers to view why teams are successful or not in football, some tend to be more accurate year after year. That is not to say any others are wrong or not as good, nevertheless, this is a dependable predictor about a third of the way through the season.
It is called – Offensive Yards Per Point. How you do this is to take the number of total yards a team gained and divide it by the number of points they scored. Here were the Top 5 for the season:
All but Philadelphia has a winning spread record and they were 8-9 ATS, frequently facing big spreads. Being able to take advantage of your scoring chances helps any team win games and those backing them to cash more winning tickets.
It has been another fun year full of great NFL picks. Now it’s on to the NFL Playoffs, let’s make money there as well. Don’t forget you can make your bets at any of these US Sports Betting Sites.