MLB Parlay for June 2: A Bet That Pays (+263) (Archive)
Top sportsbooks have released their MLB odds for today’s baseball action. Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in: Giants vs. Marlins and Padres vs. Brewers.
For reasons that I will explain, you should play the total for both games. Feel free to parlay both bets at a top sportsbook in order to maximize your profit.
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins
Thursday, June 02, 2022 – 06:40 PM EDT at loanDepot park
Who Pitches for the Giants Today?
San Francisco starts lefty Alex Wood who promises to bounce back after collecting the loss in two consecutive outings.
Two starts ago, he took the loss against San Diego after suffering some misfortune. In that start, he yielded a 15.00 ERA because he yielded an absurdly high .615 BABIP (batting average of balls in play). His 2.22 FIP in that start reflects how well he actually performed.
Most recently, he earned the loss in Cincinnati where, historically speaking, he tends to struggle.
Alex Wood's Favorite Pitches
Wood's two favorite pitches are his sinker and slider. Both pitches make up about 82% of his arsenal. He also throws a changeup a lot.
The Sinker
- The sinker is typically a pitch that one locates low in the strike zone or below it.
- However, Wood ably distributes this pitch along with different parts of the strike zone.
The Slider
- He does, though, tend to feature his slider low and along the edges of the strike zone, as heat maps show.
- This is also true of his changeup, which, like his slider, creates a nice change of pace relative to his sinker.
I like Wood to thrive tonight because he is historically solid in Miami's venue where he yields a 2.92 ERA in 49.1 career innings.
Who Pitches for the Marlins Today?
Miami starts Sandy Alcantara who is a model of consistency.
Alcantara has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 9 of his 10 starts this season. Moreover, he has conceded one earned run or fewer in each of his past 4 starts. Alcantara is so solid in terms of limiting opposing scoring despite the fact that he regularly goes deep into games.
He has thrown 25 out of 27 possible innings in his last 3 starts.
Sandy Alcantara's Favorite Pitches
Alcantara is consistent, thriving against opponents that match up even better against his pitches than the Giants do. He throws:
- Fastball
- Changeup
- Slider
- Sinker
His four-pitch mixture is dangerous because of how balanced it makes his arsenal. He throws all four pitches with over 20% frequency and he doesn't throw a single pitch with as much as 28% frequency.
This level of variety makes him less predictable for opposing batters because they have more trouble discerning which pitch will approach them.
MLB Pick: Under 7 (+100) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Thursday, June 02, 2022 - 07:40 PM EDT at American Family Field
Who Pitches for the Padres Today?
San Diego starts Sean Manaea today.
Manaea is most well-known for his sinker, which he throws 60.5% of the time. He locates this pitch well, distributing it evenly among different parts of the strike zone. His pitch selection is intelligent because it is logical for a pitcher to throw his best stuff most often.
Manaea's sinker is clearly effective: opponents are batting .198 and slugging .372 against it.
Sean Manaea vs. Brewers' Batters
Regardless of what pitches Manaea throws, the Brewers' lineup is already in bad shape for tonight's game because Manaea is a lefty. With big-name batters like lefty Christian Yelich, the Brewers are more built to deal with right-handed pitching.
Plus, the Brewers still miss Hunter Renfroe who is not eligible for activation from the injured list until tomorrow. Renfroe's presence would have been valuable tonight because he is slugging .750 against left-handed pitchers.
Manaea's other two favorite pitches are his slider and changeup. Together, his sinker, slider, and changeup make up nearly 99% of the arsenal. The biggest reason why I like Manaea tonight is that the Brewers rank 28th in slugging .289 against these three pitches from lefties.
Who Pitches for the Brewers Today?
Milwaukee starts Adrian Houser who is slightly more balanced than Manaea in terms of pitch selection.
Houser, like Manaea, primarily relies on a sinker, although Houser doesn't throw this pitch quite as often.
Adrian Houser's Favorite Pitches
His two favorite pitches are his fastball and sinker.
He matches up well against the Padres because they rank 27th in slugging against these two pitches from righties.
Moreover, Manny Machado is a huge part of the Padres' offense, but he is 0-for-8 lifetime against Houser.
MLB Pick: Under 8.5 (-123) at BetOnline
Parlay Verdict
For your MLB picks, expect low-scoring pitching duels in Miami and Milwaukee. Parlay the Giants/Marlins under and the Padres/Brewers under.
Be sure to use our trusty parlay calculator for your parlay betting needs.
Parlay Picks
- Giants vs. Marlins: Under 7 (+100)
- Padres vs. Brewers: Under 8.5 (-123)
MLB Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+263) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.