Mexico Open at VidantaWorld 2025 Best Bets: Can Norrman Cash In as a Sleeper Pick? (Archive)
Top Golf Pick: Vincent Norrman to Win Outright (+8000) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)
This week the PGA Tour moves south to Mexico Open and here at BMR, our golf expert Craig Edwards brings readers his best bets.
Check out the golf betting lines and odds available at the top-rated online sportsbooks.
Mexico Open at VidantaWorld 2025
February 20 – 23, 2025
This is only the fourth year of the Mexico Open played at Vidanta but already we have a strong read on the course, and the sort of players we are looking for.
Course Notes
- Vidanta Vallarta, Nuevo Vallarta, Mexico
- Par 71 at 7456 yards
- Designer – Greg Norman
- Paspalum greens
- Lengthy test with less respite than a normal week with only three par 3s.
- Wide fairways with little or no penalty for wayward driving.
- The Vidanta correlates with other South American tracks used on the PGA Tour for the Puerto Rico Open and the Corales Puntacana Championship.
Weather Forecast
This week’s forecast for Vallarta is absolutely perfect with sunshine and a gentle breeze, therefore expect low scoring and a winning total of 20-under par or just below.
Mexico Open Previous Champions
Will it be a Norrman Conquest in Mexico?
I must confess, that I have been following Swede Vincent Norrman closely in recent weeks and he has also featured in this column. This week’s test in Mexico suits the twenty-seven-year-old much more on several levels than those recent tournaments.
Firstly, the Mexico Open looks like the weakest PGA Tour event of 2025 so far with many of the top players resting after a slew of Signature events.
There has been much promise in Norrman’s play so far in 2025 with three top 40 finishes in stronger tournaments, which suggests he is re-finding the form of his rookie season in 2023 when he won the Barbasol Championship.
That season also saw Norrman illustrate how much Latin America golf suits his style and he was 18th here on debut along with strong efforts in the correlating events in Puerto Rico and the Corales Puntacana Championship.
At the price of (+8000) with BMR's best sportsbook, Bovada there is a compelling case for supporting Vincent Norrman this week.
Golf Pick: Vincent Norrman to Finish Top 10 (+800) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Golf Pick: Vincent Norrman to Win Outright (+8000) at Bovada
Can Jake Knapp defend?
As long-term followers and readers of my column will know, last year’s Mexico Open was a profitable one with Jake Knapp landing the title at (+3300).
This year the thirty-year-old Californian arrives in Mexico in solid form at the price of (+4000) at BetOnline and there are good reasons why that similar price is valued once again.
Interestingly, last week Knapp got the bonus of an extra start in the big league when Tiger Woods withdrew from the Genesis Invitational, which had been re-arranged to Torrey Pines after the fires of Los Angeles. And, Jake didn’t Knapp on the opportunity by contending prominently all week at a test that suited him well, eventually finishing 17th.
In fact, a huge reason why we followed Knapp here last year was his performance at Torrey Pines the week previous where he illustrated his game was in great nick with a top 5 finish and given last week’s event was a Signature one, and deeper with high functioning top players competing, you could argue that last week’s result has identical value to 2024.
The final piece in the jigsaw of the Jake Knapp puzzle is that much of his best form on the Korn Ferry Tour was down in South America and a confident familiarity with the change of agronomy is a huge plus.
We are attempting to emulate last year’s heroics from Jake Knapp by backing him in the same markets at BetOnline.
Golf Pick: Jake Knapp to Win Outright (+4000) at BetOnline
Golf Pick: Jake Knapp to Finish Top 10 (+400) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.