Free NCAA Basketball Picks: Our Best Bets for February 28 (Archive)
There’s nothing that stands out to me on this small slate for Monday. The NEC Tournament begins tonight, which is exciting and there are many crucial regular-season games, including Baylor against Texas and SDSU against Wyoming.
But those types of games are extremely hard to pick. Therefore, I’ve put together a three-team parlay that we can enjoy for .25 units at plus money. This isn’t something I normally do but I figured, why not?
Each leg will be broken down below so let’s get into some NCAAB odds for today!
Alcorn State Braves vs. Texas Southern Tigers
Monday, February 28, 2022 – 08:30 PM EST at H&PE Arena
Texas Southern Tigers
- ML (-250)
Texas Southern is 12-4 in conference play and has won nine of its last 10 games in conference play. On the road, Texas Southern lost to Alcorn State, 73-72. In that game, Texas Southern struggled badly on the defensive end, but stormed back with 22 points in the final 10 minutes, while allowing just eight points from Alcorn during the same stretch.
Alcorn State is shooting an effective field goal percentage of 45.9 percent while turning the ball over 20.8 percent this season. The offense is only good for offensive rebounds, but overall, Texas Southern has done a solid job limiting offensive rebounds this season.
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Meanwhile, Alcorn State's defense has allowed opponents to shoot a 52.3 percent effective field goal percentage while giving up nearly 35 percent from downtown and 52.4 percent from inside the arc.
The Main Reason
Texas Southern should have more success on the offensive glass and overall should have a much better day inside the arc.
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Norfolk State Spartans
Monday, February 28, 2022 – 07:30 PM EST at Joseph G. Echols Hall
Norfolk State
- ML (-360)
Norfolk State is 19-6 and 10-2 in conference play. However, one of those losses came against North Carolina Central, on the road. In that game, Norfolk State was up 62-57 with 3:09 to go and ended up losing the game on the road. The Spartans shot just 29.2 percent from deep and only 52 percent from the foul line in that game.
Expect things to change at home. North Carolina Central has been a terrible offense, giving up turnovers at nearly 24 percent of the time. NC Central is shooting 31.4 percent from three and 48.3 percent from inside the arc. Meanwhile, Norfolk State has held opponents to 30.3 percent from three and 46.5 percent from inside the arc this season.
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NCC is really only good for offensive rebounds. But Norfolk State has limited teams to 27.1 percent offensive rebounds this season. On the other hand, the Spartans should get to the line at a solid pace and have hit 34.1 percent from deep and 50.5 percent from inside the arc this season.
The Main Reason
Overall, Norfolk State should be able to take control of this game with more foul shots, a better field goal percentage, and more rebounds.
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Howard Bison
Monday, February 28, 2022 – 07:30 PM EST at Burr Gymnasium
Howard
- ML (-450)
South Carolina State is one of the worst offenses in college basketball. They've shot a 43.1 percent effective field goal percentage while hitting just 30.5 percent from three and 41.9 percent from two. SCST should be able to earn a bunch of offensive rebounds, but the turnovers will cancel those second chances out at the end of the day.
Howard is earning 24.1 percent turnovers per game this season and is used to playing aggressively on the defensive end. Meanwhile, on offense, Howard is hitting 37.2 percent from three and getting to the line at a very high pace.
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Turnovers might be a problem for Howard too, but overall, Howard's field goal percentage will be much better in this game. At the line, Howard has hit nearly 75 percent of foul shots and should get to the line often.
Therefore, I like all three of these teams to get a revenge win, at home, late in the season, when it matters the most and just in time for our NCAAB picks.
Parlay Picks
- Texas Southern ML (-250)
- Norfolk State ML (-360)
- Howard ML (-450)
NCAAB Pick: 3-Legged Parlay (+119) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.