US Open 2023 Analysis & Betting Preview

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Coco Gauff celebrates her win against Iga Swiatek of Poland during the semifinals of the Western & Southern Open at Lindner Family Tennis Center on August 19, 2023. Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP

Tennis Pick: Coco Gauff to Win US Open (+1000) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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The final Grand Slam of the year kicks off next week and the coveted US Open trophy will be up for grabs. The tournament is played on slower hard courts which allow multiple different playing styles to fare well in efforts to win the tournament. 

The North American hard court swing has been in play for over a month, and the players are accustomed to the hard courts and the weather.  

On the women’s side, multiple players have a great shot at winning the title. On the men’s side, there are two men who stand head and shoulders above the field. This makes capping each side of the tournament to be quite different, but we can take advantage of these different dynamics in order to make winning tennis picks.  

Key Facts

  • Coco Gauff is 11-1 during the North American hard court swing. 
  • Novak Djokovic is the number one player in the world and is coming off a statement win over rival Carlos Alcaraz at Cincinnati.
  • Rybakina’s stoic demeanor helps her in pressure-packed Grand Slam situations.

Coco Gauff

Win Over Swiatek in Cincinnati

Coco Gauff had lost all of her 7 matches against Iga Swiatek before she finally defeated the Polish number one player in the world. Gauff squeaked out the first at 7-6, fell in the second set 6-3, but then had a strong third set where she prevailed 6-4 to get her first win over her rival at the top. 

That win was important for Gauff’s confidence going into the Grand Slam tournament played in her home country.

Goodbye Inconsistency

Keen tennis observers had often noted that as soon as Coco cleaned up her inconsistent forehand she would be in the running for number one player in the world. Gauff has one of the top backhands in the game and has improved her serve to be a top 10 server in the game. 

For a younger player, Gauff has incredibly crisp volleys, probably honed during her time on the doubles circuit. Now that she has a forehand that can hang with the other top players, she can use her strong backhand and athleticism to win rallies in Championship situations.  

Tennis Pick: Coco Gauff to Win US Open (+1000) at BetOnline

Novak Djokovic

Still the Best

After facing off against Carlos Alcaraz in the finals of the French Open, Wimbledon, and the Cincinnati Masters 1000, it is clear that eventually the torch will be passed from Novak Djokovic to Carlos Alcaraz. The question is when? 

After Alcaraz’s fantastic win at Wimbledon, people thought that maybe Djokovic’s time as the number one player was done. Yet Djokovic came through in one of the most exciting matches of the year. After falling down a set and a break, Djokovic mustered all the energy and veteran guile that he could summon in order to overcome the up-and-coming Spaniard. 

Djokovic will also have the advantage of it being a 5-set match and he is one of the best-conditioned players in the world. 

The One Threat

One can argue that Daniil Medvedev has a chance to defeat Djokovic, but in my eyes, only Alcaraz can defeat the Serbian number one player in the world. Although Alcaraz played brilliantly in the final, he suffered many hiccups on his way to the final in Cincinnati. 

In the US Open, he could be vulnerable, and if Djokovic is able to avoid him he will surely win the title. Alcaraz is Djokovic’s only threat here, making Djokovic the sharpest bet on the men’s side given the latest ATP odds.  

Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic to Win US Open (+140) at BetOnline

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Elena Rybakina

Improving Results 

After winning Wimbledon last season, Elena Rybakina made a statement when she won the WTA 1000 tournament in Indian Wells. She also won a WTA 1000 level title when she raised the trophy in Rome. The Indian Wells win is highly predictive of success at the US Open because of the similar slow hard court conditions. 

Elena Rybakina has shown that she can navigate slower hard courts on her way to a title.  

Better Odds

There were concerns about Elena Rybakina’s health following a withdrawal in the third round of the Cincinnati tournament due to a shoulder injury. Top offshore sportsbooks were afraid that Rybakina would not be 100% going into the final Grand Slam of the year. However, Rybakina has assuaged such concerns with her statements, yet the markets have yet to react in the WTA odds.

I believe that Elena Rybakina is fully healthy and her retirement was a result of her frustration with the WTA scheduling. At the previous tournament in Montreal, Rybakina had been forced to play until 3:00 a.m. and blasted the WTA for unreasonable scheduling negatively affecting her health and recovery. 

Because of this, I was not surprised to see Elena Rybakina withdraw from Cincinnati to get ready for this tournament, which could potentially define her season in a much more positive light.  

Tennis Pick: Elena Rybakina to Win US Open (+800) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.