AC Milan are temporarily league leaders following their back-to-back victories, including a win over fierce rivals and 2nd placed Inter.
Inter do however have a game in hand and are very much expected to win this weekend as they are -333 to win on home soil over Sassuolo.
Let’s get into this week’s Matchday 26 Serie A soccer picks.
Friday, February 18, 2022 – 02:45 PM EST at Allianz Stadium
The first game to kick off our Serie A picks this weekend starts on Friday with the ’Derby della Mole’ between Juventus and Torino, the Turin derby. Juventus have bossed this derby in the last 20 years, losing on just one occasion, with 7 ties and 25 wins. Torino have not beaten Juventus away from home since 1995.
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Juventus look a much better team since the signing of Dusan Vlahovic from Fiorentina, Torino will be pleased to have their captain and star striker Andrea Belotti back in the line-up following two months off with an injury.
Interestingly Juventus home games have seen the most amount of under 1.5 goals cash and Torino on the road have also seen the most amount of under 1.5 goals cash, but with that being said we expect to see goals in this derby, at the very least two.
Juventus will not settle for anything less than a win here and they are now starting to eye up an unlikely Serie A championship but Inter Milan’s recent slip-ups have given them a small glimmer of hope.
Tornio’s recent form has all but seen them end their European football chances, but an unlikely win here and then a win in their game in hand and who knows.
Serie A Pick: Over 1.5 Goals + Over 1.5 Cards Each Team (+105) at The Best Online Sportsbooks
Saturday, February 19, 2022 - 09:00 AM EST at Stadio Luigi Ferraris
These are two teams who are very much out of form right now as they have only picked up 3 points in their previous five Serie A games, the tied second-worst record over those five games.
When these sides met earlier in the season Sampdoria picked up a 3-0 victory on the road, the "Blucerchiati" will be hoping to pick up three wins in a row for the first time since the 24th of October 2020.
We are looking to target the over 2.5 goals in this Serie A matchup, Sampdoria have done most of their scoring on home soil this season with 11 of their 13 games seeing over 2.5 goals scored.
These teams have seen their previous three games against each other average exactly 4 goals per game. Although we find it hard to predict a winner here, we do see goals on the cards. Empoli will be looking to put in a good performance against a team they know they are capable of beating.
Both teams to score looks a super play here but the juice is at -140 in the current Serie A odds.
Serie A Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-120) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Sunday, February 20, 2022 - 06:30 AM EST at Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina have quickly adjusted to life without their former star man Dusan Vlahovic, since his departure, they have picked up two wins in three games and scored three goals against today's opponents Atalanta, in the Italian Cup, and two against Spezia. Both fixtures were away from home.
They play host to Atalanta this time around in the league and the visiting team are looking to improve on their very poor run of form as of late. Atalanta have suffered three defeats, four ties and three wins in their previous 10 games in all competitions.
Atalanta will be without some of their best players for this game with the likes of Duvan Zapata, Aleksey Miranchuk and Josip Ilicic all unavailable at the time of writing.
With that being said, we are still not fully convinced by this Fiorentina side without Vlahovic. Also, we must remember Atalanta are the best away team in the league, the only team yet to lose an away match.
With the moneyline at +160 for them to pick up a win here seems like good value. They have had one day's extra rest than their opponents and beat them on the road in their previous two visits.
Over 2.5 goals is another play we like here but at only -130 we don’t believe there’s much value there unless you include both teams to score and over 1.5 at -110 with your best bets.
Serie A Pick: Atalanta to Win ML (+160) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.