Last week, our NFL prop bets went 2-1 with Drake Maye flying over his passing yards and George Pickens scoring a touchdown at a plus money price, taking our running total to 8-1-9 (-1.7 units)
What a week with so many favorites coming unstuck, provoking more questions than answers! It is only week 7, and there are no unbeaten franchises and only two in each conference that have managed to lose less than twice.
Now, let’s find value for our NFL player props week 7.
NFL Prop Bets Week 7 At-a-glance
This NFL Week 7 Player Props guide breaks down the best player-focused wagers for the upcoming slate, from promising rushing yard totals to enticing touchdown bets.
Building on last week’s 2-1 performance, it highlights where the value lies in this week’s football player props using insights from recent team form and statistical trends. Whether you’re looking for sharp NFL prop bets for Week 7 or simply trying to find players poised to outperform expectations, this guide points you in the right direction.
Let’s kick things off with a look at Quinshon Judkins and why his rushing yards line against Miami could offer early value.
Cleveland Browns’ Quinshon Judkins Over 85.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Sunday, October 19, 01:00 PM EDT
This is a great spot for Quinshon Judkins and the Cleveland Browns this week. I am expecting a big game from the rookie running back on the deck and the Browns to win.
The twenty-one-year-old Judkins rushing yards are set as high as 85.5 yards, but I do expect him to fly over the number. The hapless Dolphin’s defense has given up 200-yards a game on the ground on average in their last three matches.
I also expect the second-round draft pick to score a touchdown, but the price is very prohibitive at (-135), in context against the receiving yards of (-110). Factor in that putting points on the board has been difficult for the Cleveland Browns, but dominating the running game on the deck against Miami will be a lock regardless of points.
You can expect the yardage to only go upwards, so let’s trust Quinshon Judkins’ receiving yards will go over.
Kansas City Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes Anytime Touchdown (+250)
Sunday, October 19, 01:00 PM EDT
It looks like the Kansas City Chiefs have turned the corner. Their attacking line is getting healthier by the day, so putting points on the board will become easier.
The Anytime Touchdown price for Patrick Mahomes at (+250) looks overpriced. The sportsbooks’ player props are assuming that with more potency up front, Mahomes will save himself the danger of getting injured from his rushing touchdown prowess.
Regardless, the price of (+250) compensates for that happening, and the Raiders are going to struggle to hold the Chiefs this week at Arrowhead Stadium. The thirty-year-old Mahomes could easily poach another touchdown to take his tally to five and bring profits to our readers.
Tennessee Titans’ Gunnar Helm Anytime Touchdown (+600)
Sunday, October 19, 01:00 PM EDT
No surprise on the “First Coach to be Sacked” market as Brian Callahan received the dreaded bullet at the Tennessee Titans after a terrible start to the season.
Certainly, with a home game against the New England Patriots this weekend, that might have been in the mind of the bosses, because there is usually an expected increase in morale in a locker room for the next game.
The Patriots are flourishing under Mike Vrabel, the inspirational head coach previously with the Titans. They also have the up-and-coming quarterback Drake Maye, so things are looking rosy in New England. Nevertheless, the Titans will be fired up for the Vrabel return.
To score a (+600) winner with this weekend’s player props, we do not need the Titans to win, just rookie tight end Gunnar Helm to score a maiden touchdown, and that looks imminent as his target count grows.
Your Week 7 Player Prop Playbook
Our NFL picks Week 7 preview highlights a slate full of promising player props and matchups worth watching closely.
The game we’re most looking forward to is the Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs, where Patrick Mahomes’ anytime touchdown prop could offer strong value. Other top recommendations include Quinshon Judkins’ rushing yard total against Miami and Gunnar Helm’s longshot touchdown bet versus Tennessee — both with the potential to cash in big.
Remember, in sports betting, timing is everything, and odds can shift quickly before kickoff. Capitalize on these favorable props by opening an account and placing your bets today before the lines move.
Shop the Best Odds at Top Offshore Sportsbooks
When it comes to maximizing value on your NFL picks Week 7, it’s crucial to shop around for the best prices before locking in your bets. Line movement can make a major difference in your potential payout, and the smartest bettors always compare odds across multiple sportsbooks.
This week’s player props can be found at some of the best offshore sportsbooks, including Bovada, Heritage Sports, and BetOnline — each offering competitive lines and exclusive player prop markets. Don’t settle for less value; explore every option and secure the best odds available before placing your wagers.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
