Our selections last week were blighted by injuries and a lack of game time, as injuries are mounting up across many franchises after a rough Week 11 in the NFL.
Our Week 11 picks shaped up like this:
- Veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers, getting carted off with a wrist injury, hurt our player props when heading for the over last week.
- Drake London flew over his receiving yards once again for us, but unfortunately got an injured knee himself and looks to be out for the rest of the season.
- As for Tez Johnson, only one reception did not help our cause, as our record moves to 13-1-19 (-5.4 units)
Let us not injure or jinx our NFL player props week 12!
NFL Prop Bets Week 12 At-a-Glance
We lead off with the match of the week, and the man himself, Patrick Mahomes, and his Chiefs will have no hiding place this week against the flying Indianapolis Colts, who are coming off a bye week.
To be a profitable bettor, particularly in the NFL, I have always found it important to swim against the tide, and we lead off by doing exactly that with polarising newcomer quarterback Shedeur Sanders.
Equally, on occasion, the bleeding obvious is exactly that, and Drake Maye carries all in front of him, so let us jump back on the MVP candidate’s train once again.
Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes (Anytime Touchdown (+300) at Bovada)
Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs – November 23, 1:00 PM ET
Cometh the hour! Cometh the man! And this week, the Kansas City Chiefs need their star quarterback, Patrick Mahomes, at his best.
No more can the Chiefs coast through the regular season with their current 5-5 record. Losing is not an option this weekend, which means, effectively, Mahomes will be rushing more than in a typical regular-season game.
This match already has the feel of a knockout post-regular-season playoff game, particularly from the Chiefs’ perspective, who need to win at all costs.
Hence, they will go with their star man, Patrick Mahomes, making the anytime touchdown scorer at +300 impossible to pass up with Bovada.
Browns’ Shedeur Sanders (Over 162.5 Passing Yards (-108) at Heritage Sports)
Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders – November 23, 4:05 PM ET
I have found the media discourse surrounding Cleveland Browns rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders to be highly distasteful. The negativity around a twenty-three-year-old’s debut when thrown into the “lion’s den” midway through an NFL game was too much.
Having been a professional sportsman, I can remember how harrowing a debut, or even the opening few games of a career, can be, and, importantly, how not predictive it is of what to expect from a professional athlete going forward in his career.
One look at his low passing yards on the player props page for this game makes me believe that discourse has affected his line, so let us oppose that consensus opinion and back Shedeur Sanders to go over 162.5 passing yards, given his throwing arm looked decent when he had time in the pocket.
Patriots’ Drake Maye (Over 245.5 Passing Yards (-110) at BetOnline)
New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals – November 23, 1:00 PM ET
Finally, we go back to the well for the obvious Drake Maye over the passing yards against the Cincinnati Bengals.
I must confess the opening gambits below 250 yards took my eye against the hapless Bengals, who cannot defend. Throughout their campaign, the Bengals have struggled to hold franchises nowhere near as potent as the Patriots have been under Maye’s expert orchestration.
There are no complicating matters further when you see that Maye has only dropped under 250 on three occasions this campaign.
Use the live player props odds page to keep track of Drake Maye’s passing yards, and currently, BetOnline is the best in the market at 245.5.
Week 12 Player Props: Key Takeaways
This week’s picks best selection is Patrick Mahomes as an anytime touchdown scorer.
We also fly against conventional wisdom with rookie quarterback, Shedeur Sanders, and close out with the glaringly obvious credentials of Drake Maye.
Make sure you have an active account at a top sportsbook while reviewing injury updates, weather forecasts, and line changes before betting. And explore all of our NFL player props for more value picks.
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
