2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds & Picks
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Jason Radowitz
- October 14, 2025
We’re a third of the way through the NFL season, and there have been a ton of surprises early on.
The Dallas Cowboys lead the NFL in offensive yards per game, but have done it without CeeDee Lamb. Yet, despite having six touchdown catches, George Pickens is nowhere close to being in the AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year conversation.
This award ultimately goes to an offensive player who isn’t a quarterback. So far, Jonathan Taylor leads the league in rushing yards, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba has earned the most receiving yards. Those two are in the top three when looking at the odds for this year’s Offensive Player of the Year Award.
Should you bother with either of them? Below, we’ll discuss the 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award odds.
2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Players to Watch
A lot can change with another two-thirds of the NFL still to be played. At this time, Jonathan Taylor has the highest probability to win the award at +150. He’s rushed for 603 yards and seven touchdowns, leading the NFL in both categories on the ground.
Meanwhile, Bijan Robinson has added 484 yards on the ground and another 338 yards in the air. Despite all the success, he’s only got three touchdowns total. He’ll have to find the endzone a lot more down the stretch to win the 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award. Looking at the current odds, he’s currently at +340, behind only Jonathan Taylor.
| Position | Player Name | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Taylor | Colts | +160 |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson | Falcons | +340 |
| 3 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seahawks | +450 |
| 4 | Puka Nacua | Rams | +550 |
| 5 | Christian McCaffrey | 49ers | +750 |
Indianapolis Colts’ Jonathan Taylor (+160)
The Colts have been one of the best offenses this season, thanks to Jonathan Taylor. Taylor has rushed for 603 yards on a league-leading 115 carries. He’s also earned seven rushing touchdowns and added another receiving touchdown this season.
Ultimately, the Colts have transformed their offense with Daniel Jones at quarterback. Since Jones has become a viable quarterback, Taylor has been able to excel this season.
Taylor had 1,431 yards and 11 touchdowns in 14 games last year. He’s currently on pace to destroy these numbers and might even get a chance to break his career-best 18 touchdown record in 2021.
There have been many questions about his durability. He hasn’t lasted a full season in three consecutive seasons. But if he’s able to, he’s easily one of the best running backs in the game. If he shows consistency down the stretch, he’s a good option at +160.
Atlanta Falcons’ Bijan Robinson (+340)
There’s no denying the talent of Bijan Robinson. It just took him a year to figure things out in the NFL. Last season, he finished with 1,456 yards rushing and 431 yards in the air, to go along with 15 total touchdowns.
This season, he’s struggling to find the endzone, but the yards are there. He’s added 484 yards rushing and another 338 yards in the air. But with only three total touchdowns in five games, it’s hard to bet on Robinson moving forward.
If he’s not scoring touchdowns, he’s not winning the Offensive Player of the Year Award. No matter how many yards he achieves. That said, if he continues to add a high amount of yards, there’s a big chance he’ll start to see the endzone more frequently. At +340, you’re getting Robinson at a solid price, knowing that if the yards continue to pile up, so will the touchdowns. I’d rather bet Robinson at +340 than Taylor at +160.
Seattle Seahawks’ Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+450)
The Seattle Seahawks made some changes at wide receiver and made Jaxon Smith-Njigba the No. 1 wide receiver heading into the season. With Sam Darnold under center and Cooper Kupp added into the receiver room, Smith-Njigba has been unstoppable.
The 2023 first-round pick has hauled in 696 yards receiving and has earned three touchdowns. He’s also caught 42 passes and is averaging nearly 17 yards a catch.
Unlike Robinson and Taylor, JSN has been able to stay healthy his entire NFL career. He’s played 17 games in each of his first two seasons and has played all six games this year. Ultimately, he finished with 100 catches and six touchdowns in 17 games last year and is well on his way to breaking those numbers in his third season.
I don’t love taking wide receivers for this award, but you can’t deny the value at +450.
Betting On The Favorites and What To Do Next
We talked about the top three favorites at the Offensive Player of the Year odds boards to win this award. Meanwhile, Puka Nacua is next on the list, and he might actually have to miss a game or two with an injury. You absolutely want to stay away from Nacua.
In addition, Christian McCaffrey hasn’t looked elite like in previous seasons. That likely has to do with all the injuries San Francisco has endured this season.
Those top three are easily better selections than the next two. But remember, lines will start to move as games are played. So if you like a player and their odds, jump on it as soon as possible at a top offshore sportsbook. The Offensive Player of the Year is going to be competitive down the stretch.
Get In On The Action
Don’t be afraid to get in on the action. After reviewing all the data points, it’s smart to consider the top three candidates for this Award. All three have started the season red-hot, and none show signs of slowing down this season.
Smith-Njigba and Robinson both need to start scoring more touchdowns to compete with Taylor. If you think one of them can do that, place your bet at BetOnline today for the best value on the board.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
