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Hurricanes vs. Lightning NHL Predictions and Free Pick (Archive)

Originally published on March 29, 2022

Two top teams from the Atlantic division face off tonight in Florida in what’s set to be one of many big matchups on tonight’s card.

The Hurricanes come into tonight’s game just one win away from top of the conference, whilst the Lightning are currently 5 points behind the Hurricanes, knowing a win will give them a big boost towards getting back into the top spot of the Conference before the regular season ends. 

Hurricanes vs. Lightning

Tuesday, March 29, 2022 – 07:00 PM EDT at Amalie Arena

Tampa Bay Can Make Big Strides Tonight 

Although the Lightning have been very poor lately, winning just four of their previous ten games, they can make up a lot of ground in the conference if they beat the Hurricanes tonight on home ice. Tampa Bay are currently 7 points behind the Hurricanes.

A win for Tampa Bay would drop that gap to five points, and the Lightning have an extra game left to play, enough to drop the gap to 3 points with a win. They lost 3-2 to the Hurricanes last time out and its very rare this Lightning team takes back to back losses to the same team, it has happened on a few rare occasions, I’m sure. 

Tampa Bay come into tonight’s game off the back of a strong 4-1 road victory over the New York Islanders. 

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Hurricanes Ain't All About the Defense

Despite being the best defensive team this season, having allowed only 2.26 goals per game and rank inside the top 5 in almost every other important defensive stat. Their offence has stepped up big time this season and have begun to prove in recent games just how capable they are at scoring having now scored 20 goals in their previous four games. 

Sebastian Aho leads the team with 63 points and has 12 power play goals to his name. The Hurricanes have been averaging 3.3 goals per game this season, the 8th best in the NHL. 

The only concern for the Hurricanes coming into this will be their recent form, having won just 5 of their previous 10, which is a little below par for their standards this season. The Lightning also have an extra days rest on the Hurricanes. 

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Team Trends

*Trends should never be your main source of information when it comes to making your betting picks, they are merely guidelines and mostly irrelevant information, but nonetheless can be interesting to read.

Carolina Hurricanes

Tampa Bay Lightning 

What Are The Betting Odds and Current Lines?

Moneyline: Being on the road the Hurricanes have being priced up on the board at +140 on the moneyline. Tampa Bay are laying -140 with the best sportsbooks

Total: Tonight’s total has been set at 5.5 with the juice currently on both the over and under. The over being more heavily chalked up at -115 NHL odds, whilst the under is -105. 

Puck Line: Understandably we are laying big juice for the Hurricanes to cover the underdog standard +1.5 PK line at -220, but if you wanted to take them to win by two or more goals, they are +275. Tampa Bay to cover the -1.5 is +180. 

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Betting Predictions

The Lighting are notoriously strong on home ice, the back to back Stanley Cup champions have only lost just 6 of their previous 25 at home. Carolina have been a little more shaky on the road, having won just 12 of their previous 25.

We expect this to be a very hard fought game, but ultimately, we favor the Lightning to come out as winners here, the home ice and extra days rest should give them enough of a boost, as well as the fact that winning this game is slightly more important to them. 

The Lightning were dominated on the road last time they faced this team, they won’t want a repeat of that along with a defeat tonight, especially on home ice. 

This is going to be a very tactical game, and the Lightnings odd man rush should create some issues for the Hurricanes, Victor Hedman should lead the charge on the defensive end but we really like his odds of finding a teammate in space and picking up an assist at -120 in tonight’s contest. 

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Score Prediction: Carolina 2-4 Tampa Bay 

NHL Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+180) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review

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Lightning -1.5 (+180)
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NHL Pick: Victor Hedman Over 0.5 Assists (-120) with BetOnline

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Hedman Over 0.5 Assists (-120)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.