Basketball Plays of the Day for November 10: Free NBA Betting Picks (Archive)
Here are the best bets to place for tonight’s NBA games. Top Sportsbooks have released their NBA odds for tonight’s NBA action.
Two games, in particular, interest me as worth investing in Washington vs. Cleveland and Milwaukee vs. New York. For reasons that I will explain, you should play the spread for both games.
Washington Wizards vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Wednesday, November 10, 2021 – 7:00 PM EST at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
Cleveland Offense vs. Washington Defense
Rim protection is relatively important for a defense to excel at when facing the Cavaliers because they love to score at the basket. Cleveland relies, especially on guard Darius Garland. Garland is adept at driving to the basket as he does it both frequently and efficiently.
Moreover, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen are forceful scorers who convert over 70-percent of their opportunities within five feet of the basket. Mobley is worth highlighting because of the instant impact he has made as a rookie, using his versatility and length to be productive on offense. He’s an able passer who also finishes nimbly at the hoop.
These players will thrive against a Wizard defense that continues to lack quality rim-protecting personnel. Hence, Washington allows the fourth-highest field goal percentage within five feet of the basket.
Washington Offense vs. Cleveland Defense
Similar to Cleveland, Washington prefers to score close to the basket. The Wizards are disinclined to attempt three-pointers, which they are particularly bad at making away from home. Know for your sports betting that their road three-point percentage is an awful 27.7.
Their reliance on scoring inside will be problematic against a Cavaliers defense that ranks ninth in limiting the opponent’s field goal percentage within five feet of the basket. This is a Cavalier squad that likes to have multiple strong rim protectors. As part of their rebuilding endeavor, they let guys like Andre Drummond go.
Now their shot-blockers are younger but still, evidently, solid. Mobley’s impact has been visible on defense as on offense. His versatility allows him to switch. He rotates intelligently. Like Jarrett Allen, he uses his length to be an effective defender inside the restricted area. Given these match-up details, I think that Cleveland will pull off an upset at home tonight. But we’ll always take the extra points for our best bets.
NBA Pick: Cavaliers +3.5 at -108 with Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)
Milwaukee Bucks vs. New York Knicks
Wednesday, November 10, 2021 - 7:30 PM EST in Madison Square Garden
Knick Defense
Defensively, New York is not what it was last regular season. The regression is, in fact, steep. Whereas the Knicks owned the fourth-best defensive rating last year, they rank 25th in the category this season.
Milwaukee Offense vs. New York Defense
One respect in which the Knicks are struggling is in perimeter defense. In particular, they are allowing the second-highest -- and nearly the highest -- a rate of wide-open three-point attempts. This stat means that Knick defenders are repeatedly at least six feet away from the opposing three-point shooter.
Perimeter defense is, however, something that defenses need to excel at when they face the Bucks because Milwaukee attempts the fifth-most three-pointers per game. Offensively, Milwaukee is stacked with players who like to shoot threes, with examples including guards Grayson Allen and Jrue Holiday.
They will get their share of opportunities tonight, as they did in their first meeting against the Knicks. One may wonder why the Bucks lost that first meeting. The Bucks lacked sufficient inside scoring ability. Primarily, this lack is Bobby Portis’ fault.
Portis had an off day despite performing well against a better Knick defense last year.
He’s been repeatedly strong as a scorer, producing double-digit point totals and a nice balance of inside and outside scoring in every November game besides the one against the Knicks. Tonight, Portis gets to redeem himself.
Knick Offense vs. Buck Defense
This year, the Knicks set out to attempt more three-pointers. They attempt the 10th-most this year after ranking 26th in three-pointers attempted per game last year. High-volume shooters like Kemba Walker and Evan Fournier contribute to this alteration in shot profile.
For this game, this shot profile will hurt the Knicks because Milwaukee has one of the top perimeter defenses, which is why it ranks among the best at limiting opposing three-point percentages. Unlike the Knicks, they are great at preventing wide-open three-point attempts. Milwaukee’s stronger perimeter defense makes it a strong upset candidate. But we’ll take the free points for our NBA picks.
NBA Pick: Bucks +3 at +100 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.