Auburn vs. Texas A&M College Football Week 10 Expert Betting Analysis (Archive)
The Utah Utes have won four of their last five games. With a Friday night game on the horizon, can Utah knock off Stanford, on the road? Let’s see the NCAAF odds.
Auburn Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Saturday, November 6, 2021 – 3:30 PM EDT at Kyle Field
The Texas A&M Aggies have some real momentum ever since beating Alabama less than a month ago. The Aggies have won three straight games and are now 6-2 on the year. Meanwhile, Auburn is also 6-2 on the year and while they lost to Georgia on the same week that Texas A&M defeated Alabama, the Tigers knocked off two ranked opponents in Arkansas and Ole Miss after that deflating loss. This game has all the makings for a potential SEC classic
Auburn is averaging 34.9 points per game while allowing 19.8 points per game. The offense is averaging over 450 yards per game behind Bo Nix who has nine touchdowns and two interceptions on the year. The Tigers offense has improved plenty this year but they just don’t have reliable and consistent playmakers. Defensively, Auburn can do a lot of things well.
They’ve allowed 356 yards per game this season and have held the opposition to just 228.9 yards per game in the air this season. The coverage and pass rush are what make Auburn’s defense so special, but they’re also solid creating pressure against the quarterback and have made their fair share of open field tackles.
If anything, Auburn has the much better special teams unit in comparison to A&M and that could be a factor in what should be a very tight and close matchup. The Aggies, on the other hand, are averaging 29.6 points per game while allowing 16.1 points per game.
The offense has really dominated in the last three games, scoring at least 35 points in each. Just like Auburn, the Aggies are mainly running the football and gaining 188 yards per game on the ground this year behind Isaiah Spiller, who is averaging 6.2 yards per carry.
Quarterback Zach Calzada looked incredible against Alabama, but in his last start, he went 12-for-24 against South Carolina with just 187 yards passing. He’s capable but also was the back-up to start the year.If we’re going to compare both defenses, it’s clear that Texas A&M is the worst of the two when it comes to rushing defenses.
Auburn should be able to gain more yards on the ground and with Calzada under center, A&M will need to find their ground game before they’ll have any shot at winning this game.
Prediction
Auburn continues to get overlooked this season. They’ve knocked off their last two opponents by double digits and both of those teams were ranked between Arkansas and Ole Miss. Meanwhile, after Texas A&M faced Alabama, they defeated Missouri and South Carolina.
They haven’t been battle-tested while Auburn has been. Auburn scored over 31 points in each of those two games against ranked opponents in their win and have really started to play terrific football as we approach November. Therefore, I’ll take Auburn as the underdog in this one.
For my NCAAF picks, I’ll take the points, knowing Auburn has been playing the much tougher competition and still coming out with wins.
NCAAF Pick: Auburn +4.5 (-110) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.