20-06-2007 Tennis Betting Analysis from PinnacleSports.com

As the start of Wimbledon 2007 approaches, the question on everyone’s lips is can Roger Federer equal Bjorn Borg’s record of five consecutive men’s titles. PinnacleSports.com rate the world no.1 as a 1.444 chance, having swept the field aside at the Australian Open without even dropping a set. Federer’s great rival, Rafael Nadal, didn’t play in Melbourne, but the Spaniard is still clearly adjusting to the very different demands of the fast court game, and in particular, grass, losing in the quarter-finals of Queen’s in straight sets.

Federer’s Wimbledon Preparations Far from Ideal
For those bettors reluctant to back Federer as such skinny odds, a case can be made for taking on the Swiss Master at 3.050 with PinnacleSports.com. As a four-time champion he should feeling perfectly at home in SW19, but things might seem slightly unfamiliar this time around. Firstly, Jolly Roger enters the tournament without a coach, having dispensed with the services of Tony Roche in mid-May. This didn’t stop him winning the Hamburg Masters against Nadal on his least favourite surface, but in the French Open final, again against the Spaniard he seemed unnerved, producing an unprecedented number of unforced errors (60) and converting only 1 of 17 break points (6%).

Following the disappointment of that failure, Federer withdraw from his traditional Wimbeldon warm-up event, the Gerry Weber Open in Halle, Germany. All four of his Wimbledon wins have been preceded by victory in Halle, but this year he pulled out citing fatigue and fear of injury. Though known for his mental toughness, anyone looking for a chink in Roger Federer’s armour might seize on these points, and suggest that the one man capable of beating the number one seed is himself.

The most prestigious grass event outside of Wimbledon, took place at Queen’s earlier in June, and was won for the fourth time by Andy Roddick, underlining the American’s credentials on grass. The A-Rod has been revitalised under the tutelage of Jimmy Connors, who led him to the final of the US Open, but yet again he lost to his nemesis, Roger Federer, against whom he has also lost two Wimbledon finals and has a 1-13 head-to-head record. Connors’ influence has been significant as prior to his arrival, Roddick’s career was on the slide, but has a huge task to help Roddick overcome his inferiority complex against Federer. The victory at Queen’s was unremarkable other than for the Texan’s fighting spirit, have faced match-point against Mahut.

The tall Frenchman showed great aptitude for grass play but will have to battle through three qualifying rounds to enter the main Wimbledon draw. Lleyton Hewitt is the last man to win at Wimbledon other than Federer, to win at SW19, but the Australian lost in the first round of Queen’s and has failed to reach the semi-finals of the last six Grand Slam events.

Scot Andy Murray has shown the potential to delight British tennis fans by landing a Wimbledon title. He has risen to no.8 on the ATP rankings, helped by coach, Brad Gilbert, who has addressed the fitness issues that found him out in two previous Wimbledon campaigns. However, a wrist injury sustained at the Hamburg Masters forced his withdrawal from all subsequent events. Should he play at Wimbledon he will only have completed six sets of competitive tennis since mid-March.

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