14-06-2007 La Liga Betting Analysis from PinnacleSports.com

Last Saturday in the space of 18 seconds the La Liga title race was turned on its head. Goals in the final minutes of Real Madrid’s and Barcelona’s penultimate league games proved hugely significant with both games ending as draws, leaving the Madridistas on top of the Primera Division and in charge of their own destiny with one game remaining. In the simplest terms, if Madrid win, the title belongs to them, however if they fail to take maximum points there are some very interesting scenarios which could see any one of three teams celebrating. For bettors looking to end the Spanish season on a winning note there is only one winning scenario – betting with PinnacleSports.com at up to 60% better La Liga odds.

Real Madrid’s Destiny in Their Own Hands
Real Madrid have gone three seasons without winning the Spanish title, and such is the level of expectation at the club, that the fans’ relationship with the team during this barren period has often been tense. However, as Los Blancos are just one win away from landing the title, a show of solidarity is expected at the Bernabeu for the game against Mallorca on Sunday. Their Balearic opponents have been motivated to spoil Madrid’s party, after Real’s president, Ramon Calderon’s premature celebrations last weekend assumed Mallorca would be beaten. In addition Barca and Sevilla are offering the visitors 600,000 euros to rain on the Galactico’s parade.

Mallorca have recorded some surprising wins at the Bernabeu such as a 3-2 win in 2004 and an amazing 5-1 thrashing in 2003. Madrid do however have an excellent recent record in encounters, winning the last five meetings, and will be spurred on by the massive prize of winning the league, and satisfying the desire of 80,000 supporters. PinnacleSports.com have Real Madrid as strong favourites 2.190 (-2) and Mallorca 1.775 (+2).

Barca May Struggle to Pick Themselves Up
Football can be a cruel game, just ask Barcelona coach, Frank Rijkaard. Last Saturday his side were dealt two massive blows in the defence of their La Liga crown, as they conceded a 90th minute goal in their Catalan derby against Espanyol, which was compounded by Real Madrid’s last gasp equaliser away to Real Zaragoza. The combination of those two events leaves Barca praying that this weekend their arch-rivals slip up, while they must get three points away to Gimnastic, otherwise they will lose their title. Silverware isn’t all that is at stake, should they lose the title to their nemesis, the recriminations will swiftly follow and inevitably heads will role, from both players and staff.

Though Barcelona won their last away game 6-0, they will certainly be shaken by last week’s disastrous events, but must cling to the hope that this week fortune will favour them and not Real. They couldn’t face a weaker away opponent for such a crucial game. Gimnastic have already been relegated boasting the worst home defensive record, and have lost three straight home games conceding eight times. PinnacleSports.com envisage an away win pricing Barcelona 2.09 (-2) with Gimnastic 1.84 (+2).

Sevilla Could Yet Pull Off Remarkable Treble
Though the odds are stacked against Sevilla, the battle for the Spanish title remains a three horse race. The Sevillistas are two points adrift of Barcelona and Real Madrid, so if that duo both lose and Sevilla win at home to Villarreal they will add the La Liga title to the UEFA Cup won last month. If it’s a three-way tie, Madrid will take the spoils; a two-way tie between Barca and Sevilla, and the Catalans retain their crown; while dead-heat between Sevilla and Madrid, would hand the title to the Andalucians, setting up a possible treble, with the Copa Del Rey to come.

There are some big ‘if’s’ in there. Villarreal have motivations of their own, chasing a UEFA Cup spot, so will be tough opponents. Sevilla were unable to break down Mallorca last weekend without several key attacking players such as Kanoute and Kerzahakov, who remain below full fitness, and Juande Ramos must keep in mind the cup final on June 23rd. PinnacleSports.com have Seville as marginal favourites 1.909 (-0.5) with Villarreal 2.020 (+0.5).

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